Ceará vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 0
CEA
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CRZ
1 - 0
CEA
70%
19%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
CEA
3 - 0
GRE
32%
27%
42%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
COR
2 - 2
CEA
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
CEA
2 - 1
SAO
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 2
SAN
26%
24%
50%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 1
BAH
65%
23%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 1
SCI
28%
25%
46%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
BAH
2 - 1
ATL
47%
26%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 0
BAH
66%
22%
12%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |