Ceará vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
54%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FLA
0 - 1
CEA
75%
18%
8%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
CEA
0 - 2
BAH
36%
30%
34%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
CEA
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
VAS
1 - 1
CEA
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
CEA
0 - 0
ATP
34%
30%
36%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
COR
1 - 1
ATM
44%
27%
28%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
COR
2 - 1
COL
56%
25%
20%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
COR
1 - 0
PAR
72%
20%
8%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
FLU
1 - 0
COR
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
COR
0 - 1
GRE
42%
28%
30%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |