Ceará vs Caucaia EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.8%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
8.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.9%
4-0
13.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
16%
3-0
16.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.9%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
15.1%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.6%
1.5%
Win probability
0.28
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SDJ
0 - 1
CEA
11%
23%
66%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
CEA
6 - 0
UNI
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 47 | 38 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CEA
1 - 0
FLO
80%
15%
5%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
CEA
9%
21%
70%
|
85 | 36 | 49 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CEA
1 - 3
JUV
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Caucaia EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
CAU
1 - 2
FER
16%
20%
64%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
IGU
1 - 0
CAU
40%
23%
37%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
CAU
2 - 1
BAR
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
IGU
4 - 1
CAU
35%
23%
42%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
COR
1 - 4
CAU
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |