Ceará vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
FLU
4 - 0
CEA
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
CEA
2 - 1
ATP
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 1
CEA
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
CEA
4 - 0
AMF
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
FFL
1 - 1
CEA
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
AVA
3 - 2
COR
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 1
AVA
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
AVA
1 - 3
SCI
32%
26%
43%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 1
AVA
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
ATP
0 - 0
AVA
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |