Ceará vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
43.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2011 |
COT
3 - 1
CEA
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
CEA
2 - 0
PAL
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
CEA
0 - 2
SAO
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
ATL
4 - 1
CEA
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
CEA
2 - 2
BOT
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2011 |
ATM
0 - 4
SCI
41%
25%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
FLA
4 - 1
ATM
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
ATM
2 - 2
ATL
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 1
ATM
24%
24%
52%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
ATM
0 - 1
SAO
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |