Ceará vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 3
CEA
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
NAU
0 - 0
CEA
18%
25%
57%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CEA
1 - 1
ALT
81%
14%
5%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
CEA
5 - 0
CAU
92%
7%
2%
|
85 | 44 | 41 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SDJ
0 - 1
CEA
11%
23%
66%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ABC
2 - 2
SAN
83%
13%
4%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 1
ABC
10%
19%
70%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
ABC
0 - 0
BOT
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 1
ABC
57%
24%
18%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
ABC
1 - 0
POT
79%
15%
6%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |