Mercantil Sub 19 vs CF Damm Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
61.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
10º
7º
42
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
47.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
62.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
30% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
87% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
87% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercantil Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
CEM
2 - 1
UDC
60%
20%
20%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
ESC
2 - 0
CEM
53%
21%
25%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CEM
1 - 1
RCD
29%
22%
48%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CEM
0 - 0
CER
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
CEM
49%
22%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CF Damm Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 2
CFD
12%
18%
70%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CFD
5 - 0
CDE
87%
10%
3%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CEE
2 - 2
CFD
24%
25%
52%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CFD
1 - 0
CDS
58%
22%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
UDC
0 - 0
CFD
27%
25%
48%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |