Cruz Azul vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
CAZ
47%
26%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NEC
1 - 2
CAZ
26%
28%
47%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAZ
52%
24%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
CAZ
0 - 2
MAZ
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
LEO
1 - 2
CAZ
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
TIJ
0 - 2
TOL
32%
27%
42%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
TOL
3 - 1
TIG
46%
25%
30%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
JUA
1 - 3
TOL
32%
27%
42%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
TOL
5 - 3
ATL
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
TOL
0 - 1
JUA
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |