Liga MX Finals Cl. Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Cruz Azul vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
CAZ
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
CAZ
2 - 2
PUM
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
PUM
0 - 2
CAZ
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 1
CAZ
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
CAZ
2 - 2
ATS
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
CAZ
55%
24%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
TIG
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
TIG
1 - 2
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
MON
1 - 3
COC
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
NEC
2 - 5
MON
30%
28%
42%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |