Villada vs Saldaña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
7.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
VIL
5%
12%
83%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 3
VIL
32%
22%
46%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MON
2 - 3
VIL
41%
22%
37%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 2
GUA
88%
8%
4%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
JOP
0 - 2
VIL
13%
16%
71%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Saldaña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SAL
0 - 0
CDF
26%
22%
52%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
VDB
1 - 1
SAL
74%
16%
10%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SAL
4 - 0
GRI
49%
21%
30%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AST
3 - 0
SAL
71%
17%
13%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 1
CDV
28%
21%
51%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |