Villada vs Saldaña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 2
VIL
74%
16%
10%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 2
CAR
52%
20%
28%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
JOP
3 - 1
VIL
17%
18%
65%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
UDA
1 - 1
VIL
13%
17%
70%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CER
5 - 3
VIL
73%
16%
12%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Saldaña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 2
CDV
14%
17%
70%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 1
SAL
78%
14%
8%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 0
SAL
80%
14%
6%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 2
CAR
35%
23%
42%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
JOP
2 - 2
SAL
34%
23%
43%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |