CD Villacarrillo vs UD Pavía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Villacarrillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BER
2 - 3
VIL
44%
24%
33%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
CDR
43%
27%
30%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
CDL
43%
25%
32%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CDL
0 - 2
VIL
53%
23%
24%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 1
VIL
63%
19%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UD Pavía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PAV
0 - 1
VIL
47%
22%
32%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
PAV
3 - 1
CAR
45%
22%
33%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
CDV
2 - 0
PAV
36%
25%
39%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
PAV
5 - 1
CUE
81%
12%
6%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
PDG
2 - 2
PAV
25%
23%
53%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |