CD Villacarrillo vs Atlético Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Villacarrillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
BEG
0 - 3
VIL
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 1
CDR
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAZ
1 - 1
VIL
29%
22%
49%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
BAE
61%
21%
18%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
5 - 2
VIL
28%
22%
50%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
CDH
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 1
BEG
44%
23%
33%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CDR
2 - 1
ATL
22%
21%
57%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 1
CAZ
62%
19%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BAE
0 - 3
ATL
41%
22%
37%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |