Valeranica vs Quintana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valeranica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
VIS
46%
23%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SJE
4 - 1
VAL
18%
19%
63%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
NOR
76%
15%
9%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 2
COV
85%
11%
5%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PIQ
3 - 3
VAL
22%
21%
57%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Quintana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
QUI
2 - 5
NOR
59%
20%
21%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PIQ
3 - 1
QUI
34%
24%
42%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
QUI
2 - 1
ABE
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
QUI
1 - 2
GOL
39%
23%
38%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TAR
0 - 1
QUI
64%
20%
16%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |