Unión Arroyo vs Rayo Cenobia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+146%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
RIO
31%
23%
47%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ATO
4 - 0
UNI
61%
20%
19%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
MED
38%
22%
40%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
RAC
2 - 0
UNI
37%
24%
40%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 5
BOE
36%
23%
41%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Cenobia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CDV
5 - 0
RAY
81%
13%
6%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
RAY
1 - 5
UDS
7%
14%
79%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
VIC
6 - 0
RAY
91%
7%
2%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
RIO
3 - 2
RAY
83%
11%
6%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
RAY
2 - 4
ATO
20%
20%
60%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |