CD Toledo vs CD Tarancon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
6º
16º
8º
39
1º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CDT
2 - 0
ILL
31%
24%
45%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CDC
2 - 0
CDT
55%
24%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CDT
0 - 0
MAR
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CDT
4 - 1
ATT
80%
14%
7%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
UBC
1 - 0
CDT
41%
26%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Tarancon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
UBC
1 - 2
TAR
53%
24%
23%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
TAR
2 - 2
LSO
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 1
TAR
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
TAR
1 - 1
CSP
19%
22%
59%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
TAR
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |