Copa Chile Last 16
Global 1-7
La Serena vs Colo-Colo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
42.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
DLS
5 - 0
ACC
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
ACC
1 - 2
DLS
17%
21%
62%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
COL
2 - 0
DLS
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
DLS
5 - 1
CDM
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
CSL
2 - 0
DLS
51%
25%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
COL
2 - 0
DLS
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
HUA
0 - 2
COL
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
COL
1 - 2
PAL
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
NUB
5 - 1
COL
28%
26%
47%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
COL
1 - 0
UCH
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |