Sariegos del Bernesca vs Atlético Pinilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.2%
12.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sariegos del Bernesca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 5
SBE
11%
15%
74%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
VIR
1 - 0
SBE
13%
17%
70%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SBE
3 - 0
ATL
89%
7%
4%
|
20 | 5 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 0
SBE
43%
21%
36%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SBE
2 - 2
CDA
74%
14%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Pinilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 4
CUB
61%
18%
21%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 1
LLI
89%
8%
4%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BER
0 - 3
ATL
8%
13%
79%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 2
LAC
36%
21%
44%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ATL
4 - 1
NAR
37%
22%
41%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +2 |