CD Santa Úrsula vs Villa Santa Brígida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
45.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
7º
16º
8º
47
1º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 78% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 22% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Santa Úrsula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
LAN
1 - 0
CSU
43%
26%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CSU
2 - 1
CDM
17%
22%
60%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
PAN
1 - 1
CSU
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 4
CSU
43%
26%
32%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CSU
0 - 1
CDT
25%
25%
50%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Villa Santa Brígida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VSB
3 - 1
UDG
56%
23%
21%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
ARU
3 - 1
VSB
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
UDS
2 - 1
VSB
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VSB
0 - 0
LPA
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VSB
2 - 1
UPR
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |