CD San Fernando vs Vicálvaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SFN
5 - 2
TOB
38%
24%
38%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
COL
2 - 1
SFN
53%
22%
25%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SFN
2 - 1
SSR
50%
23%
27%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 1
SFN
64%
19%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SFN
1 - 3
UZN
28%
23%
49%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vicálvaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
COL
1 - 1
CDV
51%
23%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CDV
0 - 1
MOR
32%
22%
46%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ROB
3 - 2
CDV
44%
23%
33%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CDV
1 - 2
ROB
52%
23%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
EFC
1 - 3
CDV
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |