San Esteban vs Arcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.8%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
3.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Esteban
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
COV
0 - 3
EST
7%
13%
80%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
EST
5 - 1
CAS
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
GOL
1 - 0
EST
48%
21%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
EST
0 - 0
VIS
57%
21%
22%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SJE
1 - 3
EST
8%
13%
79%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
LAN
5 - 2
ARC
91%
7%
2%
|
5 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ARC
0 - 1
COV
55%
20%
25%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 2
ARC
67%
18%
15%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ARC
1 - 4
GOL
13%
17%
70%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
VIS
2 - 1
ARC
77%
14%
9%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | 0 |