CD San Agustin vs Rayo Cenobia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
28.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+180%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Agustin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RIO
5 - 2
AGU
63%
18%
19%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
AGU
4 - 1
ATO
54%
21%
25%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MED
2 - 1
AGU
77%
13%
9%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
UVA
4 - 1
AGU
84%
11%
5%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AGU
3 - 4
UNI
41%
22%
37%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Cenobia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RAY
1 - 5
UVA
10%
15%
76%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PED
4 - 0
RAY
46%
22%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
RAY
2 - 4
UNI
44%
22%
34%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
RAY
2 - 0
PIO
71%
16%
12%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BET
6 - 1
RAY
58%
20%
22%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |