CD Real Sociedad vs Lobos UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
50.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
7º
10º
8º
25
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
OLI
5 - 0
RSO
73%
19%
9%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 0
RSO
72%
19%
9%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MOT
2 - 2
RSO
74%
18%
9%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
RSO
2 - 2
HNP
31%
23%
45%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
RSO
2 - 5
VIC
27%
25%
47%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
JAG
2 - 1
MOT
25%
28%
47%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
JAG
3 - 2
VID
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
JAG
2 - 1
MAR
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ALI
3 - 0
JAG
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
JAG
0 - 0
OLI
18%
25%
58%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |