CD Real Sociedad vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
50%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
9º
5º
29
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
RES
1 - 0
RSO
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
RSO
69%
20%
12%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
RSO
0 - 1
ALI
30%
29%
42%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 0
RSO
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
RSO
0 - 1
CDG
82%
13%
6%
|
60 | 15 | 45 | +1 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 4
MOT
25%
27%
49%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 1
MOT
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MOT
4 - 1
RES
43%
26%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 0
MOT
44%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
MOT
3 - 0
VID
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |