Quintana vs Valeranica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
65.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quintana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
QUI
82%
12%
6%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
QUI
5 - 2
ARC
56%
21%
24%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LAN
4 - 0
QUI
89%
8%
3%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
QUI
1 - 1
COV
51%
21%
28%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 3
QUI
60%
21%
20%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Valeranica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 1
CDC
43%
22%
36%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 2
NAV
79%
14%
8%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
EST
3 - 1
VAL
39%
23%
38%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
5 - 0
ARC
81%
13%
6%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LAN
3 - 2
VAL
61%
20%
20%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |