Quintana vs Covaleda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
27.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+297%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quintana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 3
QUI
60%
21%
20%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
QUI
2 - 2
PIQ
41%
23%
36%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
QUI
2 - 3
CDC
9%
14%
76%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
QUI
1 - 1
VIS
41%
23%
36%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LAN
4 - 0
QUI
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Covaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
COV
1 - 1
CDC
10%
14%
76%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
COV
50%
22%
28%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
COV
2 - 2
CDC
7%
13%
80%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
COV
2 - 1
NOR
18%
19%
63%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
EST
5 - 1
COV
84%
11%
5%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | 0 |