CD Provincial Osorno vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
52.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
7º
7º
48
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 55 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 46 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
61.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 37 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 36 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 31 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 22 |
14º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 57% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 43% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Provincial Osorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
REN
1 - 1
CDP
46%
26%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CDP
1 - 1
DLI
49%
28%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 0
CDP
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDP
1 - 0
LAU
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
SAU
3 - 2
CDP
41%
27%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 1
OVA
64%
22%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
REN
2 - 1
CDM
24%
25%
52%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CON
1 - 3
CDM
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 1
PUE
55%
26%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
JOA
1 - 1
CDM
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |