CD Olimpia vs Lobos UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
5º
3º
15
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 2
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 0
ALI
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
RES
1 - 1
OLI
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 1
RSO
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
VID
0 - 4
OLI
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 4
VIC
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
JAG
0 - 2
MOT
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 0
JAG
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 1
RES
26%
26%
49%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
RSO
2 - 1
JAG
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |