CONCACAF League Semi-finals
Global 1-0
CD Olimpia vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 0
MAR
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
MOT
0 - 0
OLI
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VIC
0 - 2
OLI
21%
25%
54%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 0
VID
47%
27%
27%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
3 - 1
DIR
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VID
0 - 3
MOT
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
MOT
0 - 0
OLI
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MOT
1 - 2
RES
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
HNP
0 - 1
MOT
22%
26%
52%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
TAU
0 - 0
MOT
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |