CONCACAF League Final
Global 5-4
CD Olimpia vs LD Alajuelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
JAG
0 - 0
OLI
18%
25%
58%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
RES
0 - 0
OLI
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 1
ALI
55%
26%
19%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 0
MOT
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 0
MAR
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SAP
2 - 0
LDA
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
LDA
2 - 2
RES
49%
24%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LDA
0 - 0
SAP
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
RES
0 - 3
LDA
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LDA
4 - 3
GRE
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |