Murada vs Novelda UCF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
+199%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 3
BEN
58%
22%
20%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
MUR
2 - 0
RAV
64%
19%
17%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
ORI
1 - 2
MUR
14%
19%
68%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 1
ELU
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
THD
3 - 7
MUR
32%
24%
45%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
NUD
0 - 1
CAL
22%
23%
55%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
THD
5 - 0
NUD
50%
22%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 0
NUD
68%
17%
15%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
NUD
1 - 2
SPO
68%
17%
14%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
PET
1 - 2
NUD
10%
17%
74%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |