Mozoncillo vs Villacastín Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozoncillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
UNA
2 - 2
MOZ
31%
22%
48%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MOZ
1 - 2
MON
13%
17%
70%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ASU
2 - 0
MOZ
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MOZ
1 - 4
CUE
37%
22%
41%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MOZ
7 - 0
CAB
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Villacastín Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
COC
4 - 1
VIL
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 3
UNA
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MON
3 - 1
VIL
71%
16%
13%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 2
ASU
41%
23%
36%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 5
CUE
68%
17%
15%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |