Apertura Playoffs Eliminatorias Final
Global 1-2
FC Motagua vs CD Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
MOT
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
MOT
2 - 1
MAR
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 1
ALI
47%
24%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 2
MOT
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 3
VIC
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 0
CDG
84%
11%
5%
|
73 | 19 | 54 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
CDG
0 - 1
OLI
4%
10%
86%
|
73 | 19 | 54 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CDG
1 - 2
OLI
17%
24%
59%
|
73 | 18 | 55 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
OLI
5 - 1
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 1
JAG
66%
21%
14%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |