Copa Federacion Last 16
Global 3-2
CD Móstoles vs Villa Santa Brígida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
37.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CDM
0 - 2
VAL
28%
23%
49%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 3
CDM
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2015 |
CDM
5 - 0
VAL
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CDM
0 - 1
PNT
40%
24%
37%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 4
CDM
40%
23%
37%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Villa Santa Brígida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
VSB
1 - 0
CRU
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
CSU
1 - 1
VSB
26%
25%
49%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
VSB
1 - 0
TEL
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
UNV
0 - 1
VSB
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
CDT
0 - 1
VSB
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |