CD Móstoles vs Las Rozas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
8º
7º
45
3º
16º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 61.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 38.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
TRJ
3 - 2
CDM
24%
28%
49%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 5
ALC
63%
23%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CEA
1 - 2
CDM
22%
25%
53%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CDM
0 - 1
UPL
31%
27%
43%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ARO
1 - 0
CDM
38%
27%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Las Rozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ADA
3 - 3
LRZ
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
LRZ
1 - 3
ALC
57%
21%
21%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
LRZ
4 - 0
GET
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
TRC
2 - 0
LRZ
18%
25%
57%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
LRZ
1 - 0
GAL
76%
15%
10%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |