CD Montesinos A vs Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Montesinos A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MON
4 - 1
MON
50%
20%
30%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 3
MON
33%
23%
44%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MON
4 - 1
ALG
91%
7%
2%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ASP
1 - 3
MON
40%
23%
37%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
MON
1 - 3
SPO
56%
21%
24%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RAF
0 - 1
CDC
27%
22%
51%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ALG
1 - 2
RAF
25%
22%
53%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
RAF
0 - 0
ASP
24%
21%
55%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
RAC
1 - 2
RAF
42%
23%
35%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
ALG
0 - 3
RAF
73%
16%
10%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +2 |