CD Monte Sub 19 vs Castro FC Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
34%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+290%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
18º
15º
46
6º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
34 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
30 | 30 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Monte Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CDC
3 - 0
CDM
58%
20%
22%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 1
CLU
31%
22%
47%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PEA
1 - 0
CDM
52%
21%
28%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SDP
3 - 2
CDM
88%
8%
4%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 3
CDT
58%
21%
22%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Castro FC Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CFC
1 - 1
ARE
33%
21%
46%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CFC
1 - 4
CDC
50%
23%
28%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CLU
1 - 2
CFC
64%
20%
17%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
PEA
3 - 0
CFC
30%
21%
49%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 3
SDP
21%
21%
58%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |