CD Marathón vs Lobos UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
12.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
3º
1º
15
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
MOT
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
MOT
2 - 1
MAR
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
JAG
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
OLI
5 - 1
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CDG
0 - 1
MAR
13%
24%
63%
|
74 | 18 | 56 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
JAG
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
JAG
2 - 2
ALI
29%
29%
43%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 4
MOT
25%
27%
49%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 1
JAG
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 0
VIC
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |