CD Marathón vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
RSO
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ALI
2 - 3
MAR
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
JAG
64%
21%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
VIC
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
RES
2 - 0
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
HNP
0 - 1
MOT
22%
26%
52%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
RES
2 - 0
HNP
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 1
HNP
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
HNP
4 - 0
RSO
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HNP
0 - 1
VID
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |