CD Marathón vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
8º
2º
29
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VID
1 - 1
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
ALI
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 3
MAR
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 1
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
CDG
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 13 | 59 | 0 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 0
CDG
70%
20%
11%
|
73 | 15 | 58 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 4
MOT
23%
27%
50%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MOT
0 - 0
RSO
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 0
ALI
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
RES
3 - 3
MOT
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |