Leganés C vs Libertad Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
6.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leganés C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 0
LEG
32%
22%
46%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LEG
3 - 2
ESC
77%
13%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 2
LEG
56%
20%
24%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LEG
6 - 1
ATL
93%
5%
2%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 2
LEG
44%
22%
34%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
LIB
2 - 1
SPB
20%
20%
60%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 5
ALC
26%
22%
52%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ESC
0 - 0
LIB
55%
20%
25%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LIB
0 - 3
ATL
20%
19%
61%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 3
LIB
20%
20%
61%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |