Guardense vs Jovenes Promesas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
12.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guardense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
6 - 2
GUA
54%
20%
26%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CDF
7 - 0
GUA
71%
16%
13%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 2
GRI
62%
17%
21%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AST
4 - 1
GUA
81%
12%
8%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
4 - 3
CDV
16%
15%
69%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Jovenes Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
JOP
77%
14%
9%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
JOP
73%
15%
12%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 0
JOP
90%
7%
3%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
JOP
1 - 3
CDF
11%
16%
73%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
JOP
1 - 2
VDB
14%
18%
68%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |