Guardense vs Atlético Aguilar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
45.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guardense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CER
7 - 0
GUA
80%
12%
8%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
PAL
72%
15%
13%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 0
GUA
48%
22%
30%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 2
VIL
68%
16%
16%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BAL
6 - 2
GUA
46%
21%
33%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Aguilar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ATA
2 - 1
JOP
67%
18%
15%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 4
ATA
37%
23%
40%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ATA
2 - 0
VIL
11%
16%
73%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CDF
3 - 2
ATA
74%
15%
11%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ATA
1 - 2
VDB
16%
20%
64%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |