Guardense vs Castilla Dueñas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.5%
53.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guardense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
JOP
0 - 2
GUA
49%
20%
31%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
5 - 3
CAR
43%
21%
37%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 2
GUA
88%
8%
4%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
CDF
11%
15%
75%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VDB
6 - 0
GUA
87%
9%
4%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Castilla Dueñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 0
UDB
79%
13%
9%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
JOP
1 - 2
CAS
28%
20%
52%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 0
ATA
73%
16%
11%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 1
CAR
45%
21%
34%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 3
CER
27%
22%
51%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |