CD El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 1
CUE
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 3
LIG
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MUS
1 - 1
NAC
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 2
FEN
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
LDU
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
LIG
4 - 2
IVT
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
IVT
3 - 0
JUN
52%
25%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
IVT
2 - 2
UCE
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
BSC
0 - 3
IVT
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
IVT
1 - 2
OLM
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |