CD Dúrcal vs Ciudad de Baza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
20.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Dúrcal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CDD
1 - 1
CUL
11%
16%
73%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
CDD
88%
8%
3%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CDD
3 - 3
GUA
11%
16%
73%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CFV
1 - 2
CDD
76%
14%
11%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CDD
2 - 2
UDM
17%
19%
64%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ciudad de Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CIU
2 - 1
GAB
8%
15%
78%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CEL
5 - 0
CIU
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CIU
2 - 3
PUR
43%
23%
33%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CIU
3 - 4
SAL
36%
25%
40%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CUL
6 - 1
CIU
85%
11%
4%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | -1 |