CD Diocesano Sub 19 vs Flecha Negra Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
19.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
82
1º
3º
1º
69
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 83 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
2.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
89.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
72.5% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
72.5% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
81% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
19% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Diocesano Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
EFE
0 - 9
DIO
25%
20%
55%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DIO
5 - 0
VIL
77%
13%
10%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
COR
1 - 3
DIO
21%
20%
59%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DIO
4 - 1
CPA
56%
21%
23%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DIO
4 - 2
UPC
73%
15%
12%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Flecha Negra Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FLE
4 - 1
CSU
40%
22%
38%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
UPP
1 - 0
FLE
67%
17%
15%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FLE
1 - 3
CDB
60%
20%
20%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LCV
2 - 3
FLE
43%
21%
36%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FLE
6 - 0
MOR
44%
21%
35%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |