CD Diocesano vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.5%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
80.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
16.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.5%
0-3
13.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Diocesano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 0
CDD
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CDD
0 - 1
UDS
23%
27%
50%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CDD
2 - 3
LEG
29%
23%
47%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CPC
3 - 0
CDD
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
CER
1 - 2
CDD
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 0
ZAR
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
ZAR
0 - 2
FCA
47%
29%
24%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
CDT
0 - 2
ZAR
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 0
ZAR
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ZAR
2 - 1
VIL
43%
29%
28%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |