Cox vs Sax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PRV
1 - 4
CDC
15%
18%
67%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 1
UDL
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SPD
0 - 1
CDC
6%
14%
80%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CDC
3 - 0
ELD
49%
22%
29%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RAF
0 - 1
CDC
27%
22%
51%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
UDF
5 - 1
ALG
84%
11%
5%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ASP
6 - 0
UDF
43%
23%
35%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
UDF
2 - 2
RAC
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
GUS
3 - 0
UDF
78%
13%
10%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UDF
0 - 1
ALB
35%
22%
44%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |