Cox vs Sax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
39.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MON
3 - 1
CDC
68%
17%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CDC
2 - 2
UEC
11%
16%
74%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ASP
2 - 0
CDC
29%
23%
48%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CDC
0 - 1
ALG
58%
22%
21%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
RAV
3 - 3
CDC
24%
23%
53%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
UDF
5 - 1
ALG
47%
23%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
RAF
3 - 3
UDF
37%
23%
40%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
UDF
3 - 3
TOR
16%
19%
65%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
UDL
3 - 2
UDF
74%
14%
11%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
UDF
0 - 3
SPO
34%
23%
42%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |